The Washington Post reveals that the United States knew about Russia’s plan to invade Ukraine months before the war began, but failed to convince NATO members that the attack was imminent.
Could the war have been prevented? In October 2021, Joe Biden will hold an urgent meeting with his military and diplomatic advisers in the Oval Office of the White House. Six months before the start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, American intelligence agencies are certain that Vladimir Putin is preparing a major offensive in Ukraine, according to a lengthy Washington Post investigation just released.
According to this reference newspaper in the United States, Joe Biden alerted Washington’s closest allies, France, Great Britain and Germany, in Rome at the end of October during the G20 summit. A few weeks later, the director of US intelligence, Avril Haines, addressed the issue to several NATO member countries. But according to the Washington Post, reactions are skeptical.
“French and German officials have failed to understand why Putin should try to invade and occupy a large country with only 80,000 to 90,000 soldiers,” writes the daily. “Satellite imagery also showed troops moving back and forth from the border.”
The fear of an American mistake
Only the Baltic States and the British currently support the United States. Fearing political manipulation after the American analytical errors at the time of the Iraq war and during the collapse of Afghanistan, the Germans and French refuse to confirm Washington’s version.
According to the Washington Post, Emmanuel Macron and Angela Merkel did not believe that Putin could do something so “irrational”.
From November 2021 to February 2022, the Americans will step up behind-the-scenes discussions to alert the various European countries, but also to increase their presence in the old continent, since many soldiers arrive in the weeks leading up to the conflict.
The European leaders did not believe in an invasion
But just a few days before the start of the war, many Europeans did not believe in a possible invasion of Ukraine. Including Emmanuel Macron and his advisors.
The head of state, who was about to campaign for elections, multiplied diplomatic meetings and telephone calls with Vladimir Putin. On February 20, after a tense exchange, he believed he had received an agreement from the Russian President for an extraordinary meeting with Joe Biden. According to the Washington Post, Emmanuel Bonne, diplomatic adviser to the President of the Republic, even danced.
Except that it was nothing. Hours after hanging up and thanking Emmanuel Macron in French, Vladimir Putin officially recognizes two separatist republics in eastern Ukraine. Four days later, war is declared.
Original article published on BFMTV.com
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