To feel the effects of inflation, just go to the supermarket.
Although inflation started to ease last month along with gas prices overall, food costs rose 1.1% in July, bringing the year-on-year gain to 10.9%, according to the latest CPI data.
The Food-at-Home Index, a measure of grocery price changes, posted its largest 12-month rise since 1979.
Muesli and baked goods cost 15% more than last year. Milk and dairy products are up 14.9% and fruit and vegetables are up 9.3% for the year.
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“Consumers are getting a break at the pump but not at the grocery store,” said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com. “Food prices, and particularly the cost of groceries at home, continue to rise and are rising at the fastest rate in more than 43 years.”
With the Federal Reserve already taking aggressive steps to combat rising inflation, consumers expect prices to eventually come down. They’re still expected to rise 6.7% over the next 12 months, but that’s a big drop from June, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s monthly consumer expectations survey.
The central bank has hiked its key interest rate by 2.25 percentage points so far in 2022, hinting that more hikes are yet to come.
Still, as Tomas Philipson, professor of public policy studies at the University of Chicago and former acting chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, explained: “It’s going to take a while [the Fed’s rate-hike cycle] to work through.”
How to protect yourself from the sticker shock in the supermarket until then:
5 tips to avoid getting ripped off when shopping
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