Mid term elections under high tension

Mid-term elections under high tension

With less than two weeks to November 8th, Republicans appear certain to retake the House of Representatives and the Senate is within their reach.

Having trouble keeping up with our neighbors’ politics on the eve of the midterm elections? It’s not your fault, not much is normal in this circus.

However, as we get closer to the vote, it appears that the results will be in line with what we would have expected had American politics been a long, calm river.

A lot of noise

In September, I almost fell asleep during a workshop at the American Political Science Association convention on midterm election projections, as every speaker was so confident that Republicans would take over both houses of Congress.

With the electorate generally acting as a thermostat, the Presidential Party almost always suffers medium-term losses. In 2022, President Biden’s unpopularity and persistent inflation will reinforce this trend.

Mid term elections under high tension

The rest is basically just noise… but this year there is a lot of noise. Over the summer, the Supreme Court abortion decision favored Democrats, Joe Biden multiplied the good moves, indictments against Donald Trump mounted, gas prices fell and concerns reigned over the threat to democracy posed by Trump and his supporters.

All hopes seemed high for Democrats until oil started to rally again (thanks, MBS and Putin!) and voters pushed abortion and Trump’s legal battle to the back burner.

It’s getting hot

Amidst this cacophony, tight polls in several states suggest anything can happen. In important Senate elections in Georgia, Ohio or Pennsylvania, televised debates could have been decisive, but no candidate stood out.

While Republicans are scoring with campaigns focused on the economy and crime, Democrats are showing signs of division. Curiously, the national Democratic Party refuses to fund certain candidates who could cause surprises, like Tim Ryan in Ohio.

Money and votes… early

In Ohio, a state that switched from Obama to Trump and where the other senator is a Democrat, Trumpist JD Vance’s campaign is afloat thanks to the backing of a few billionaires. There, as elsewhere, the Republicans’ well-stocked coffers allow them to bombard the undecided with advertising.

For the millions of voters who have already voted, however, this offensive comes too late. Participation in the primary election is a good omen for the Democrats, who are counting on a higher turnout than usual.

Several close races are decided long after the polls close, fueling Donald Trump’s mill of lies about voter fraud.

With hundreds of candidates who share the former President’s views on democracy and a good chance of victory, the stakes are high in this election. With Senate control in danger of being decided in the second round in Georgia, the circus will continue well past November 8… and into 2024.

Who is Gaston Miron

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Invity Youth Activating Cream Concentrate is Better Than Botox Buyers

Invity Youth Activating Cream Concentrate is ‘Better Than Botox’, Buyers Say – Save 20% Now

Does your moisturizer mask the signs of aging or does it heal it? Shoppers Say This Youth Activating Cream Concentrate Is “Better Than Botox” – And With Our Code, It’s Now 20% Off

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The cream concentrate can be applied like a normal moisturizer after your cleanser and toner.  The formula is easily absorbable so you won't notice it

The cream concentrate can be applied like a normal moisturizer after your cleanser and toner. The formula is easily absorbable so you won’t notice it

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The rich but light texture of Invity Cream Concentrate is a selling point for shoppers who say the moisturizer has a luxurious feel.  But it's now cheaper than ever with 20 percent off with code DM20

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Celine Dions sister announces news from the singer

Celine Dion’s sister announces news from the singer

Celine Dion wasn’t at her best: she had confided in a weak-voiced Instagram video that she was suffering from “muscle cramps”. Concern grew over time, especially as no authenticated messages came to explain the star’s silence. Her sister Claudette finally opened up about what happened to the singer.

• Also read: Celine Dion in a role on the big screen

In an interview with Showbizz.net, Claudette said: “It’s true that she has muscle cramps; I’ve seen her myself with a twisted little leg.”

The sister even looks for an explanation. “Some people who know Celine well from having worked with her often ask me if the famous incline of the theater at Caesars Palace (in Las Vegas) could have disturbed the nerves or muscles in her pelvis…”

If she doesn’t answer this question, Claudette is the bearer of the good news.

“She’s being treated, she’s getting a lot of massages, she’s enjoying it, she’s being spoiled. And she will resume the shows. I heard rehearsals are over,” she said.

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Amid fierce fighting Russia warns of hitting US satellites

Amid fierce fighting, Russia warns of hitting US satellites

Kyiv, Ukraine (AP) – Ukrainian forces on Thursday attacked Russia’s hold on the southern city of Kherson, while fighting also intensified in the east of the country. The fighting came amid reports that Moscow-appointed authorities in Kherson have fled the city, joining tens of thousands of residents who have been evacuated to other Russian-controlled areas.

Surrounding Kherson from the west, Ukrainian troops attacked Russia’s base on the west bank of the Dnieper River, which divides the region and the country.

Amid the fighting, Russia issued a warning that the United States could be drawn into the conflict, adding that it could attack Western commercial satellites used for military purposes in support of Ukraine.

Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova accused the United States of engaging in a “thoughtless and insane” escalation. She argued that Washington should take a more responsible approach, demonstrated during the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis — when the Cold War superpowers stepped back from the brink of nuclear confrontation.

Ukraine has advanced an offensive to retake the Kherson region and its eponymous capital, which Russian forces captured in the first days of a war now in its ninth month.

More than 70,000 residents of the city of Kherson have been evacuated in recent days, said the Kremlin’s governor of the region, Vladimir Saldo, on Thursday.

Members of the Russian-backed regional administration were included in the evacuation, Deputy Governor Kirill Stremousov said. Monuments to Russian heroes were moved along with the remains of Grigory Potemkin, the Russian general who founded Kherson in the 18th century, preserved in the city’s St Catherine’s Church.

In eastern Ukraine, Russian forces continued to bombard the city of Bakhmut in the Donetsk region, slowly advancing towards the center.

Amid heavy fighting on two fronts, Russian officials have stepped up warnings that the West could become part of the conflict.

“The more the US is drawn into supporting the Kiev regime on the battlefield, the more it risks provoking a direct military confrontation between the largest nuclear powers with catastrophic consequences,” said Zakharova, the spokeswoman for Russia’s foreign ministry.

“Washington is now upping the ante and appears to believe it has the ability to control the escalation,” she said.

Deputy head of Russia’s delegation to a UN arms control body, Konstantin Vorontsov, described the use of American and other Western commercial satellites for military purposes during the fighting in Ukraine as “extremely dangerous”.

“The quasi-civilian infrastructure could be a legitimate target for a retaliatory strike,” Vorontsov warned.

As they had been throughout the month, Russian forces carried out attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, raising concerns ahead of the winter.

A Russian drone attack hit a power plant near the capital Kyiv early Thursday, causing a fire, Kyiv regional governor Oleksiy Kuleba said. He said the recent attacks had done “very serious damage”.

“Russians are using drones and missiles to destroy Ukraine’s energy system before winter and terrorize civilians,” Kuleba said in a televised address.

Kuleba announced new rolling blackouts and urged consumers to conserve electricity. He said authorities were still pondering the details of the power outages, which would be needed to restore the damaged power plants.

Kyrylo Tymoshenko, deputy head of Ukraine’s presidential office, said rolling blackouts would also be introduced in the neighboring Chernihiv, Cherkassy and Zhytomyr regions.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said earlier that Russian attacks had already destroyed 30% of the country’s energy infrastructure.

In a likely response to Russia’s attacks on Ukraine’s infrastructure, a power plant near Sevastopol, a port in Russia’s annexed Crimea region, was attacked. According to Mayor Mikhail Razvozhayev, the plant was slightly damaged in a drone attack. He said power was uninterrupted.

Crimea, a region slightly larger than Sicily, was annexed by Russia from Ukraine in 2014. During the fighting in Ukraine, she was subjected to drone strikes and explosions. In a major setback for Russia, on October 8 a powerful truck bomb blew up a section of a strategic bridge connecting Crimea to mainland Russia.

A senior Ukrainian military officer accused Russia of staging explosions at the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant and blamed Ukraine in a false flag attack.

General Oleksii Gromov, the chief of the Main Operations Department of the General Staff of Ukraine, pointed to Moscow’s repeated unsubstantiated claims that Ukraine was planning to detonate a radioactive dirty bomb as a possible signal that Moscow was planning explosions at the facility, the largest in Europe, plan nuclear power plant.

Russia took control of the Zaporizhia plant in the first days of the invasion. Russia and Ukraine have accused each other of attacking the plant, whose reactors were shut down after sustained shelling.

Gromov also accused Thursday that Russian forces may have staged explosions on residential buildings in the city of Kherson before withdrawing from the city “to cause critical damage to the infrastructure of the areas retaken from Ukraine.”

The war in Ukraine and the resulting energy crisis is likely to cause global demand for fossil fuels to peak or flatten, largely due to falling Russian exports, according to a report released Thursday by the Paris-based International Energy Agency .

“Today’s energy crisis is a shock of unprecedented breadth and complexity,” said the IEA when it released its annual report, the World Energy Outlook.

According to the report, this is forcing the world’s more advanced economies to accelerate structural shifts towards renewable energy sources. ___

Follow AP’s coverage of the war in Ukraine at https://apnews.com/hub/russia-ukraine

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Volatility tracks stocks by GDP data and earnings Markets Wrap

Volatility tracks stocks by GDP data and earnings: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg) – US stocks were gripped by volatility on Thursday as investors grappled with losses from big tech companies, while new data showed the US economy rebounded in the third quarter.

Most read by Bloomberg

The S&P 500 rose after struggling for direction early in the session. The Nasdaq 100 fell. Tech losses weighed on shares, with Meta Platforms Inc. plummeting as much as 25% as at least three investment banks downgraded the stock after disappointing earnings.

The dollar pared gains after data showed US gross domestic product rose for the first time this year. Treasury yields fell, with the 10-year rate slipping below 4% after oscillating earlier in the session.

“On the one hand, it’s good to see the economy continues to grow, and that should bode well for the stock market,” said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer of the Independent Advisor Alliance. “However, given that we are in the middle of an inflationary battle, the Federal Reserve will likely feel that it needs to remain aggressive in its rate hikes.”

A decline in services and manufacturing and slower new home sales showed that the Fed’s efforts to cool the economy appear to be bearing some fruit. Still, economists expect the Fed to hike three-quarters of a percentage point for the fourth straight session at next week’s meeting.

A strong GDP read could argue for another jumbo rate hike in December, although some investors expect the Fed to slow its pace of tightening after its November meeting, Zaccarelli said.

Other opinions on the GDP data:

Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers

“Today’s data doesn’t appear to be enough to dissuade the FOMC from doing anything unexpected at next week’s meeting. The GDP data urges the “recession ahead” narrative, meaning all eyes must be on inflationary trends for now.”

The story goes on

Richard Flynn, Managing Director of Charles Schwab UK

“Investors may be relieved by today’s GDP numbers, which beat expectations. This announcement comes on the heels of strong September employment data showing that the labor market remains strong in terms of net job creation despite some stress breaks beneath the surface. That has helped boost consumer spending; The downside is that credit card debt has risen and savings rates have fallen due to still-hot inflation.”

Stan Shipley, Economist at Evercore ISI

“Demand for the economy was fine as real GDP grew a better-than-expected +2.6% in Q3. The GDP deflator rose less than expected by +4.1%. The inflation story is probably the most influential part of this publication. Attention will now shift to the 4Q activity. Despite news of layoffs, initial jobless claims remained low. Currently, the fixed income market is discounting the risk of a short-term recession.”

As expected, the European Central Bank had previously raised its key interest rate by 75 basis points and announced further tightening. The Stoxx Europe 600 index fell after the decision, while the euro fell.

Important events this week:

  • Bank of Japan policy decision, Friday

  • US Personal Income, Personal Spending, Pending Home Sales, University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment, Friday

Some of the key movements in the markets:

Stocks

  • The S&P 500 was up 0.5% as of 10:15 a.m. New York time

  • The Nasdaq 100 fell 0.4%

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.5%

  • The Stoxx Europe 600 fell 0.3%

  • The MSCI World Index has hardly changed

currencies

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed

  • The euro fell 0.5% to $1.0031

  • The British pound was little changed at $1.1619

  • The Japanese yen rose 0.4% to 145.85 per dollar

cryptocurrencies

  • Bitcoin fell 0.3% to $20,687.63

  • Ether was up 0.5% to $1,561.13

Bind

  • The 10-year government bond yield fell four basis points to 3.97%

  • The 10-year German government bond yield fell 9 basis points to 2.02%

  • The 10-year UK government bond yield fell four basis points to 3.53%

raw materials

  • West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.1% to $88.86 a barrel

  • Gold futures fell 0.2% to $1,665.70 an ounce

–Assisted by Robert Brand, Elaine Chen and Emily Graffeo.

Most Read by Bloomberg Businessweek

©2022 Bloomberg LP

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Buffalo Bills release first renders of future stadium

Buffalo Bills release first renders of future stadium

9:02 a.m. ET

  • Buffalo Bills release first renders of future stadium.jpg&h=80&w=80&scale=crop

    Alaina Getzenberg ESPN

BUFFALO, NY – After the framework agreement for a new Buffalo Bills stadium was finalized in March, the team officially released the first renderings of the future stadium almost exactly seven months later.

Ron Raccuia, executive vice president of Pegula Sports and Entertainment, said on WGR 550 in Buffalo on Thursday that the renderings “effectively” match what the stadium will look like, barring minor changes.

The images include a view of the stadium’s exterior and one of the interior of the open-air stadium, which includes stacked seating and a canopy overhang to protect fans from the elements.

The hood covers 65% of the seats and protects against wind and rain. It will work in tandem with the stadium’s perforated multi-dimensional skin, which creates wind clutter to prevent swirling winds from reaching the pitch level.

Outside the stadium is a space the team calls “Family Circle” with three large buffalo statues. The Bills want the plaza to be a year-round gathering place for the community, and said the exterior was built to “highlight the team’s desire for a visual identity that reflects a portion of Buffalo’s historic architecture and at the same time… offers a modern look”. The exterior allows for a visual view of the interior of the stadium from the outside.

Slated to open in 2026, the stadium is located across from the Bills’ current stadium, Highmark Stadium, in Orchard Park, NY, where the team’s practice facility is located. The Bills work with architectural firm Populous, as well as Legends, a consulting group dedicated to stadium development. The groundbreaking is expected for 2023.

Less than two weeks ago, the deadline was pushed back to complete final negotiations on the $1.4 billion stadium by December, allowing the state to complete an environmental impact study. The deadline, postponed for the second time in six weeks, is now 30 days from receipt of this study.

“We take our time. We’re working well with the state and county,” Raccuia told WGR. “We have another deadline. We will keep working every day to bring it to the finish line. This is really where we are. It’s just one of those things that just takes a little longer. No reason to worry.” . We will continue as we have done so far.”

The stadium’s funding includes $850 million in public funds, including $600 million from New York State and $250 million from Erie County.

Highmark Stadium opened in 1973 and is the fourth oldest NFL stadium.

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50 years of Plantu drawings in a special issue

50 years of Plantu drawings in a special issue

The morning and the closure were well advanced, the “one” too. There was only this little white box, this desperately empty rectangle: the place of the drawing. The only thing missing was him on the side that suddenly seemed a bit dull: Plantu, his stroke and, above all, his gaze. When the news was busy, there was little to worry about. His pencil would know how to bring it back to its exact proportion, pour emotion into drama, put a light smile or a gleeful laugh on the wounds of the world and the faults of the country. But when the news was quiet and dull as a rainy day, we worried about him. How would he get out of there today? Finally the phone rang. “Hello, this is John. I sent you my drawings. Because he sent us several every day, up to six, with the grace to let us decide. And every time it was the same surprise and very often the same difficult decision.

It has been the same daily ritual for almost fifty years since that first drawing on October 1, 1972, of a pigeon during the Vietnam War. Plantu would soon take the “One”. He first did it in secret in 1978, then every Saturday from 1982 to 1985, when the publication’s director at the time, André Fontaine, decided that the Plantu would be on the pediment of the world. Great honor and heavy burden, which he will fill with talent for the happiness of readers, kindness and humility for the delight of those who knew him.

These thousands of drawings will eventually form a gigantic kaleidoscope that will traverse contemporary history and form part of the world’s identity. As a familiar landmark in the changing landscape of our “Ones,” as well as a factor of slight disorder in the so-calculated hierarchy of our titles. Irreplaceable Plantu that had to be replaced…

taste of nuances

This “post-plantu”, Jean has often evoked with the successive directors of the newspaper. With the conviction that the press cartoon at Le Monde could neither summarize nor end with him.

Between continuity and the imperative of renewal, the solution logically went through Cartooning for Peace, the international collective founded by Plantu almost twenty years ago, which today brings together more than 250 cartoonists. The association sends us a selection of cartoons four times a week, from which the editors make a selection for the front page.

With this unprecedented partnership, we have thus contributed both to the rejuvenation and feminization of a profession that is still very masculine. “Drawing for Peace”: The association’s name could be a stretch because the Plantu pigeons were sometimes mocked. Given the ferments of the Civil War, that name never seemed more relevant to us. It connects to our vocation to combat the taste for nuance, the sense of complexity, the confrontation of viewpoints with all the forces that threaten to destroy our society.

From these nearly twenty thousand signed Plantu drawings, spanning fifty years, we have extracted for this special edition with difficulty – again a difficult choice – fifty that we believe represent the best tribute to a man unwilling to put his Pencil gone…

“Plantu in “Le Monde”. 50 years, 50 drawings”, a special edition of “Le Monde”, 98 pp. , €9.50, available from October 27th on newsstands and on Lemonde.fr.

PLANTU / “THE WORLD”

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Thai transgender tycoon buys Miss Universe pageant for 20 million

Thai transgender tycoon buys Miss Universe pageant for $20 million

The Thai media tycoon Anne Jakapong Jakrajutatip bought Miss Universe for 20 million dollars. Woman transgender and Multi-million dollarsis the managing director of Jkn Global Groupa group that produces and distributes television and media programs based in Thailand, and now first female owner of Miss Universe. A choice that focuses heavily on acquiring the international beauty pageant that has been held every year for 71 years and broadcast in 165 countries. The news is CNN. Between 1996 and 2002 the organization miss universe it was also led by the former President of the United States, Donald Trump. “Not only do we want to continue the legacy of providing a platform for people with passion from different backgrounds, cultures and traditions, but also to further develop the brand for the next generation,” said the mogul. The Jkn Global Group has announced that it plans to expand Asia and it will seek to respond to growing public demand for more inclusivity and diversity. A path that had already begun in recent years: in 2012, they lifted the ban on transgender people participating in the beauty pageant.

Read more on Open

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1647723077 857 Everything that does not return at Putins event in the

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